Bitcoin analysis – How low can it go?

Bitcoin, how low can it go

Bitcoin Price Analysis – How Low Can It Go?

Bitcoin is showing more bearish momentum so it's time to look at the next downside targets.

Bitcoin looks ready for more losses as price gained downside traction after its break below a double top neckline. Applying the Fibonacci extension tool on the latest correction shows the potential targets.

Price is currently sitting on the 38.2% extension near the $8000 level at the moment, and a break lower could take it to the 50% extension next at $6459.7 next. From there, price could drop to the 61.8% extension at $5168.1 then the 76.4% extension at $3610.4 at the channel support. The full extension is located at $1063.4.

Technical indicators, however, are suggesting that the longer-term uptrend could still resume. The 100 SMA is above the longer-term 200 SMA so the path of least resistance is still to the upside. Then again, bitcoin has fallen below the 200 SMA dynamic inflection point, which could be seen as an early signal of a pending downward crossover.

Stochastic is indicating oversold conditions to show that sellers are tired, but the oscillator has yet to move higher to reflect a return in bullish pressure. RSI has some room to head south so bitcoin could still see some losses from here.

bitcoin - how low can it go

The latest wave of selling is seen to have spurred from Google’s announcement to ban cryptocurrency ads starting June. Similar action was taken by Facebook back in January when it banned ads on binary options, ICOs and cryptocurrencies, leading to roughly a 12% drop in bitcoin price then.

It doesn’t help that regulators are stepping up their game to oversee the industry, leading to speculations of more arrests or possibly shutdowns. There are also rumors that the Chinese government continues to crack down on crypto activity in the country.

IMF head Lagarde herself called upon fighting “fire with fire” to encourage encryption experts to help in the crackdown on criminals using cryptocurrencies to facilitate their activity. More remarks in the same line from other top officials could lead to further weakness in bitcoin

By Rachel Lee On Mar 15, 2018

Posted by David Ogden Entrepreneur

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Bitcoin Facts You Should Know

Bitcoin is not a fraud, nor is it a golden nugget. People continue to have strong views and positions on what bitcoin is and debate on its potential, legitimacy and relevance. The discussions are meaningful and leave many more thoughts for us to ponder. But those are opinions, and while useful, facts are critical and important to know. Knowing facts will contribute to meaningful dialogue and questions. Here are some to start with.

Bitcoin is programmable money. Bitcoin introduced a new form of money – programmable money. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies (or cryptoassets) operate under the same philosophy as past monies and money we are more familiar with. What determines money is a shared set of rules for exchanging value. The difference with cryptocurrency is that the rules are determined by the payer and payee. They decide the terms and conditions of the transaction, which are codified. This system will, and has started to, extend beyond cryptocurrency and ultimately allows for a huge array of transactions including contracts, expertise, assets and services.

In the analog world, we have physical forms of money such as goods and paper money and are limited by distance. In the digital world, we attained further reach with our transactions, eliminating the constraint and dependency of human distance and speed. However, in the digital world, we are governed by the speed and mercy of banks. In the crypto world of programmable money, we eliminate both human and institutional constraints. These frictions are expensive and reduced.

Bitcoin is not created out of thin air. Bitcoin is created through a process called mining. Blockchain, the technology that bitcoin is built on top of, is dependent on a network of nodes that ensures the integrity of transaction history by achieving consensus. (To understand more about blockchain, you can reference this article.) Validation is one part of the process. After validating a transaction, the nodes then need to race, using trial and error, to solve a difficult mathematical puzzle that requires heavy computing resources. The first computer in the network that solves the equation will be rewarded with bitcoins. This is known as ‘mining bitcoins’. This protocol is referred to as Proof of Work (PoW).

Bitcoin mining serves two purposes: it allows for the creation of new coins and facilitates the processing of transactions in the network. Mining requires energy, hardware and bandwidth. If you try to mine bitcoins on your computer, you will find the cost of electricity will likely outweigh the value of bitcoins you can mine. Other cryptocurrencies also use PoW. Another emerging protocol is Proof of Stake (PoS) which does not need energy or hardware to achieve consensus, but rather uses staking or bonding tokens to determine the next block. You can read more about both protocols here and here.

Bitcoin has value. There will only ever be 21 million bitcoins created, which is deflationary and the opposite of paper money which is inflationary. Bitcoin’s value and security is derived from the fact that it is easy to prove that substantial computing power and electric energy was expended to solve

a math puzzle. This protects against fraud and counterfeit information. When bitcoin is created by PoW, the mining is authenticated and backed by a verifiable network.

Anyone can create their own currency. But a community is needed to accept the creation in order for it to have value. The world has been transacting with bitcoin for over nine years with a global community. Bitcoin also acts like a stock in that the price can go up and down arbitrarily. A stock price represents what another party is willing to pay for it. Cryptocurrencies function in the same way.

Bitcoin can be used for payment locally and globally – A vacuum existed for a faster, more efficient, and hassle free way to exchange money. Bitcoin was the first cryptocurrency to fill this white space and was created for payments and storing value. This new form of money enables online money transfers, peer-to-peer, without an intermediary like a bank. Generally, bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies can be transferred faster and with lower fees. (As bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have gained more popularity, fees may be impacted by congestion and traffic on the blockchain).

In the earlier years of bitcoin, one could buy everyday items such as coffee, beer and dinner and transfer money for a few cents. The price wasn’t so volatile and the transaction time was fairly quick as usage on the blockchain wasn’t high. The charm was that no banks or financial institutions were involved. It was especially attractive if one wanted to transfer money to someone in another country. One could have sent $1MM worth of bitcoin to someone in another country at a cost of less than USD $1 and the receiver could convert it to fiat (aka paper money) in that country in less than an hour. Today with bitcoin’s price volatility and potential higher fees, it may not be practical for payments of everyday items. However, if you are transferring $1MM worth of bitcoin cross border, it may still be worth it.

Bitcoin as the first successful programmable money on the blockchain gave us universal, virtual and borderless cash – which is only the beginning. Bitcoin and blockchain didn’t just define the future of money. It is shaping the future of economies and transactions, and ultimately the future.

Author: Jamie Moy

Posted by David Ogden Entrepreneur

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Japan’s Third-Largest Electric Provider Is Testing Bitcoin On Lightning

Japan's Third-Largest Electric Provider Is Testing Bitcoin On Lightning

Japan's third-largest electricity provider is emerging as one of the first major companies in the world to trial a promising bitcoin payments technology.

Revealed exclusively to CoinDesk, Chubu Electric Power Co. has entered into a proof-of-concept with local bitcoin and Internet of Things (IoT) startup Nayuta, one that finds it exploring how bitcoin payments can be made via the Lightning Network, an in-development protocol that promises to cut costs for bitcoin users.

Boasting 15,000 employees and more than 200 power generation facilities, Chubu is now using Lightning to prototype a new way of letting customers pay to charge an electric vehicle.

In a demo of its work, Chubu and Nayuta went so far as to show how a Lightning payment could be sent to an electric vehicle charger that, once paid, instantly turned on and began to energize a real-life vehicle.

Chubu Electric Power Co. senior manager Hidehiro Ichikawa told CoinDesk that the test is part of the company's "market research" into how bitcoin could power its IoT needs, though he noted it doesn't yet have any official plans to accept Lightning payments from customers.

In this way, Chubu's story resonates with others enchanted by cryptocurrencies but frustrated by their current capabilties. Of note is that Chubu has been experimenting with bitcoin for IoT for quite some time, but faced a wake-up call when it realized its blockchain isn't as cheap as advertised.

Ichikawa told CoinDesk:

"Since the electricity charge is small, [Lightning's] necessary to reduce the fees for using public blockchains."

Nayuta CEO Kenichi Kurimoto believes this test is a signal of something larger – an enterprise interest in using bitcoin to deliver IoT payments in a cost-effective manner with Lightning.

"For IoT and blockchain applications, real-time payments are needed. We showed that second layer payments can be the solution," he said.

Lightning + electricity = <3

But it wasn't just Chubu and Nayuta involved in the test.

To show one way Lightning can work for IoT, the two companies hooked up a Lightning node to an electronic vehicle charger and plugged it into a car. From there they also enlisted Japanese software startup Infoteria, which coded up a mobile app to bring the user experience together.

Once clicking the "send" button, the app communicates with the charger over Wi-Fi or Bluetooth, which delivers the message and turns the power on.

Notably, the companies involved didn't use real bitcoin in the test, as other "reckless" experimenters have been doing recently. Rather, they sent dummy bitcoin on a closed test network that they have more control over.

That detail aside, the test was successful, showing that Lightning can indeed make small, instant payments for electric vehicle charging.

Nayuta spokesperson Hitomi Moriyama went on to say that he believes the same set-up could one day be offered in everyday parking lots. Users could easily use Lightning bitcoin payments to charge up their car, similar to how these chargers are refilled with credit cards today.

"[Lightning] makes it possible to operate a highly reliable charge management system with a small introduction cost," he said.

Impact and outlook

Still, while the test mirrors those that have happened on other blockchains, this one is perhaps notable given the size and scope of Chubu and the continuing commitment of some of the parties involved.

As Ichikawa stressed, Chubu's experiment is still an early proof-of-concept, and he was short on details about how it might affect the company's product as well as how much money it is even pouring into the project.

That said, Nayuta plans to continue to dedicate its entire business to continuing the exploration.

"We will continue to develop and experiment to seek for what kind of architecture is the best to apply Lightning Network for IoT," Moriyama told CoinDesk.

Kurimoto added that Nayuta is now working to ensure compatibility of its software with the three other major Lightning software implementations that are most in use today.

Going forward, Kurimto said he has introduced his team to the Lightning developer mailing list in an effort to work more closely on enterprise applications of the technology.

Author: Alyssa Hertig Updated Mar 13, 2018 at 03:08 UTC

Posted by David Ogden Entrepreneur
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Bitcoin Is Melting, Again

Summary

After an unsuccessful attempt at the $12,000 resistance level, Bitcoin is melting down once again, slumping by 30% in just a few days.
A few distinct developments caused the recent selloff to intensify.
People seem to be "Bitcoined out" a bit at the moment, which could cause the price to stay below $10K for some time.
It's not all bad news, but in the short term it could get painful for Bitcoin and the rest of the cryptocurrency complex.

Bitcoin is Melting, Again

Bitcoin (COIN), (OTCQX:GBTC) is not having a great week, and it looks like this selloff may get even worse. After a failed attempt at $12K Bitcoin entered the meltdown phase, cratering by roughly 30% in just a few days. Several simultaneous detrimental developments caused this selloff to intensify after the failed technical attempt sparked the negative price action. However, there is one predominant factor that has become the "elephant in the room". Bitcoin’s apparent loss of popularity could keep prices depressed for a lot longer than many people expect, and we may be looking at a near perfect storm scenario of events that could cause the current selloff to become much worse.

The Binance Hack

One of the elements that helped exacerbate the recent selloff was the Binance hack. It’s not exactly clear what caused the issues at the popular exchange, but what is known, is that numerous users reported their coins being sold off at random, without their knowledge or consent. This led to the speculation that a hack occurred at the crypto exchange, which in turn caused Bitcoin and other digital assets to selloff. Bitcoin cratered by about 7% in minutes following the news.

Author Victor Dergunov

Posted by David Ogden Entrepreneur.

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99 Out Of 100 Top Coins See Green As Bitcoin Climbs Back Above $9K

The cryptocurrency markets are showing slight positive growth today March 10, with Bitcoin (BTC) rising back up above $9,000 and almost all of the top 100 coins, except one, listed on CoinMarketCap in the green as of press time.

BTC had reached over $11,500 during its intra-week high on March 5, before dropping below $9000 yesterday, March 9. BTC is currently trading at around $9,500, up around 5 percent over a 24 hour period to press time.

Ethereum (ETH) is still below $800, but up from its monthly low under $700 yesterday, March 9. The top altcoin is trading now around $740, up around 5.5 percent over a 24-hour period by press time. Ethereum has consistently stayed below $1000 — a price point it had previously broken in mid-January — ever since the market dip in early February.

Of the top ten coins listed on CoinMarketCap, Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is up the most over a 24 hour period, around 9 percent, and trading around $1,084 by press time.

Altcoin Ripple (XRP) is up the least of the top ten coin on CoinMarketCap, a little more than 1 percent over a 24 hour period, trading around $0.84 by press time.

Total market capitalization for all cryptocurrencies is around $389 bln by press time, on the lower end compared to its February highs over $500 bln, but up from it’s monthly low of $344 bln March 9.

Although the markets are seeing a slight recovery today, the overall slump since the beginning of the year has been attributed to the $400 mln sell-off by the bankruptcy trustee of the former crypto exchange Mt. Gox. The more recently slump this week can be credited to global regulatory news, including the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announcement that all crypto trading platforms should register with the SEC.

Author Molly Jane Zuckerman

Posted by David Ogden Entrepreneur
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Bitcoin Drops 20% But Wasn’t Week’s Big Crypto Price Loser

Bitcoin Drops 20% But Wasn't Week's Big Crypto Price Loser

If February was bad for the crypto market, March hasn't fared better.

Bitcoin's (BTC) repeated failure to beat inverse head-and-shoulders neckline resistance saw bears come in full force, pushing prices to a one-month low of $8,371 Friday. As of writing, the world's largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization is trading at $8,970, according to CoinDesk's Bitcoin Price Index.

But the 28 percent drop from BTC's March 5 high of $11,660 had broader implications, pushing the market capitalization below $350 billion for the first time since Feb. 14.

The sell-off in BTC seems to have roiled broader markets, a trend evident by the fact the top 25 cryptos by total value are all reporting weekly losses
As such, while bitcoin has depreciated by 20.98 percent week-on-week, it's notably not the top loser of the week, with TRON, ICON and IOTA ranking higher on bigger losses.

Weekly performance: -42.65 percent

All-time high: $34.40

Closing price on March 2: $16.20

Current market price: $9.29

Rank as per market capitalization: 22

Having topped out at $17.38 on March 1, nano prices fell below $10 today for the first time since Feb. 23 this week.

So, despite positive news, such as a thumbs up from influential litecoin founder Charlie Lee, the endorsement failed to keep the nano bid amid a broader market sell-off.

As of writing, the cryptocurrency is seen changing hands at 0.0011 BTC (about $10) on Binance. The recovery from the intraday low of BTC 0.001008 (roughly $9) in the wake of oversold conditions (as shown by the relative strength index) has neutralized the immediate bearish outlook.

However, only an upside break of the descending channel would signal a bearish-to-bullish trend change.

Weekly performance: -38.51 percent

All-time high: $0.30

Closing price on March 2: $0.05

Current market price: $0.03

Rank as per market capitalization: 15

After rocketing to records earlier this year, TRON showed signs it hasn't quite been able to recover from the backlash of severe criticism.

This week, TRON even reached a strategic partnership with Trip.io to advance blockchain applications in the travel industry, and announced a strategic cooperation with BitGuild (a blockchain game platform)

Elsewhere, TRON Founder Justin Sun went so far as to reveal plans to accelerate the launch of main net.

Still, the positive news flow failed to put a floor under TRON prices. TRX/USD fell to $0.03 yesterday – its lowest level since Feb. 8.

Weekly performance: -38 percent

All-time high: $12.04

Closing price on March 2: $3.71

Current market price: $2.30

Rank as per market capitalization: 24

February's top loser hasn't had a good start this month

Prices for ICON's ICX token fell to $2.16 on Binance – the lowest level since Dec. 22, with a series of lower highs and lower lows on the daily chart indicating the bears are in control of the market.

However, short-term oversold conditions as shown by the relative strength index could yield a minor corrective rally.

Author Omkar Godbole Mar 9, 2018 at 21:52 UTC

Posted by David Ogden Entrepreneur

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Bitcoin prices fall below $9,000 â a 24% decline for the week

Bitcoin prices fall below $9,000 — a 24% decline for the week

Bitcoin fell below $9,000 during Friday afternoon Asia trade, extending losses seen earlier in the week when it fell below the key $10,000 level.
The digital currency came under pressure earlier in the week after the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission said exchanges that offered trading of "digital assets that are securities" would have to register with the agency.
At its current levels, bitcoin has declined around 24 percent for the week.

Bitcoin fell below $9,000 during Friday afternoon Asia trade, extending losses seen earlier in the week when it dropped below the key $10,000 level.

The digital currency traded at $8,671.67 at 12:37 p.m. HK/SIN after touching as low as $8,587.05 earlier in the day, according to industry site CoinDesk.

At its current levels, bitcoin has declined around 24 percent for the week.

The cryptocurrency came under pressure earlier in the week after the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission said exchanges that offer trading of "digital assets that are securities" would have to register with the agency.

That statement on Wednesday came after weeks of subpoenas from the SEC in its attempt to establish better control over the many trading platforms and exchanges.

Regulatory developments in the Asia Pacific region also likely put a dampener on prices this week.

Japan's Financial Services Agency issued punishment notices to a number of exchanges in the country on Thursday, Reuters reported. Regulators also suspended operations at Bit Station and FSHO for a month, the news agency reported.

Regulatory scrutiny in the country increased after $530 million worth of virtual tokens were stolen from Coincheck, a Tokyo-based cryptocurrency exchange, earlier this year.

— CNBC's Thomas Franck contributed to this report.

Author Cheang Ming

Posted by David Ogden Entrepreneur
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Bitcoin Takes a Dip as SEC Demands Exchanges to Register

In the ongoing saga of how U.S. regulators will ultimately handle cryptocurrency the SEC yesterday said it will require digital asset exchanges to register causing Bitcoin to dip below $10,000.

Cryptocurrency Defined as Securities

The SEC released a statement that said online platforms trading in digital assets are considered securities under existing guidelines and therefore must register with the agency.

The SEC statement reads as follows.

“If a platform offers trading of digital assets that are securities and operates as an ‘exchange,’ as defined by the federal securities laws, then the platform must register with the SEC as a national securities exchange or be exempt from registration.”

“The SEC staff has concerns that many online trading platforms appear to investors as SEC-registered and regulated marketplaces when they are not. Many platforms refer to themselves as “exchanges,” which can give the misimpression to investors that they are regulated or meet the regulatory standards of a national securities exchange.”

The SEC’s statement may have triggered fears among Bitcoin traders of further regulation to come. The statement from the regulatory commission follows some tense weeks of subpoenas and demands of information from exchanges as the commission strives to take some control over crypto trading.

Nothing the SEC has demanded is new policy, rather these are existing regulations that it is trying to fit to the as yet undefined crypto market. “The SEC continues to draw a line in the sand between securities and non-securities but without going so far as to name names,” said Spencer Bogart, partner at Blockchain Capital.

SEC Definition May Help Protect Crypto Exchanges

While that may be true up until now bonafide exchanges have relied on developing a steady reputation and their lawyers protecting their cause in order to separate themselves from being linked to scam operations or getting labelled as Ponzi or pyramid schemes.

In this way, a final and consistent ruling from the SEC naming cryptocurrency as securities may be a good thing. As the level of existing regulation may work to protect the exchanges and ultimately investors from further and possibly more difficult regulatory interference.

Whether or not an investment is legally a security generally relies on what is called the “Howey Test”. This defined by a 1946 supreme court ruling that says a security involves the investment of money in a common enterprise, in which the investor profits primarily from others’ efforts.

Bitcoin suffered a bit from the Securities Exchange Commission announcement by dropping to $9,500 but recovered back to nearly the $9,800 mark by the end of the day.

Author: JOHN MCMAHON • MAR 8, 2018 • 05:03

Posted by David Ogden Entrepreneur
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Bitcoin, Ethereum, Bitcoin Cash, Ripple, Stellar, Litecoin, Cardano, NEO, EOS – Price Analysis, March 06

Bitcoin, Ethereum, Bitcoin Cash, Ripple, Stellar, Litecoin, Cardano, NEO, EOS – Price Analysis, March 06

Harvard economist Kenneth Rogoff believes that Bitcoin’s value will drop to $100 in a decade. He stated that increased regulation is one of the aspects that will bring down the value of Bitcoin. We, on the other hand, have an opinion that in a decade, the cryptocurrencies will have much more use cases and that it will increase their demand, propelling prices higher.

Bitcoin’s entrepreneurs have taken up the task of rebuilding the Puerto Rico economy that has been hit by natural disaster, and a shortage of funds. This is a new experiment, and in case it succeeds, it will be implemented at many other places.

Additionally, increased involvement of large companies with the crypto world shows their growing acceptance, which is a bullish sign.

BTC/USD

We had been expecting Bitcoin to break out of the neckline of the inverse head and shoulders pattern and move towards the target objective of $13,000. But the bears strongly defended the $12,200 levels.

Yesterday, Feb.5, the BTC/USD pair reached a high of $11,934.08 but could not break out of the overhead resistance. Currently, the cryptocurrency is pulling back and is likely to find support at the trendline of the ascending channel at $11,100. If this support breaks, the next support lies at the 20-day EMA and below that at the 50-day SMA.

Therefore, traders can raise their stops to $11,000 on the remaining half-position. Once the price sustains below the channel, we expect it to stay range bound between $9,500 and $12,200.

ETH/USD

We had recommended traders to raise their stops on Ethereum to $830 in our previous analysis, which was hit today, Feb.6. The bulls have failed to break out of the 20-day EMA for the past nine days.

As the price is below both the 20-day EMA and the 50-day SMA and is turning down from the resistance line of the descending channel, the bears have an upper hand.

Now, chances are that the bears will push the ETH/USD pair towards the $780 levels. If this level breaks, the next support is at $723.

BCH/USD

We had recommended buying Bitcoin Cash on a breakout above the range, however, the bulls could not push prices above the 20-day EMA and the overhead resistance.

Now, the bears are likely to push prices to the lower end of the range at $1,150. If the BCH/USD pair breaks below this support, it is likely to fall to the pattern target of $950.

Our bearish view will be invalidated if the cryptocurrency breaks out of $1,355.

XRP/USD

In the previous analysis, we were unsure about Ripple’s price action. Yesterday, March 05, the price broke out of the overhead resistance, but it could not clear the 50-day SMA.

Prices turned down sharply, and the XRP/USD pair is now likely to continue trading in the range once again. If the bears push prices back below the $0.85 level, it can extend its fall to $0.72.

We don’t find any trade setups on it at the moment.

XLM/USD

Stellar continues to trade in the range because the bears were not able to break down below the $0.32 levels.

On the upside, the XLM/USD pair is facing resistance from the 20-day EMA. If it breaks down of $0.32, we might observe a fall to the support line of the descending channel at $0.22.

The bulls will continue to face resistance from the 20-day EMA, the 50-day SMA and the upper end of the range.

LTC/USD

Though Litecoin continues to trade above the 20-day EMA, it has lost its momentum. Both moving averages have flattened out, which points to a range bound action in the next few days. We recommend traders to retain the stop loss at $200, at breakeven.

Yesterday, March 05, the bulls attempted to break out of the downtrend line, yet, they could not sustain above the line.

The LTC/USD pair is likely to correct towards the 50-day SMA. If this level breaks, a move towards $175 is also possible, where we expect strong buying to emerge.

We should turn bullish if the cryptocurrency sustains above $225.

ADA/BTC

Cardano has been holding above the critical support level of 0.00002460 for the past four days, but a lack of buying at the support level shows that the bulls are not interested in buying even at these levels.

If the price breaks down of 0.00002460, it can slide to 0.00001690 levels.

On the upside, the ADA/BTC pair will face resistance at the 20-day EMA and the 50-day SMA.

We need to wait for buying to emerge before recommending a trade on it.

NEO/USD

We expected the $108 levels to provide strong support but we were proven wrong, and NEO broke below our suggested stop loss of $105.

700

The NEO/USD pair is now likely to fall to $93.5 levels. The zone between $86 to $93.5 might offer strong support. If it breaks, the cryptocurrency will become negative.

On the other hand, the price will become positive on a sustained move above $140.

EOS/USD

EOS has broken down of the symmetrical triangle, which is a bearish development. Currently, the price is holding at the horizontal support of $7.5.

If this level also breaks, a retest of the Feb. 06 lows is likely. On the upside, the bulls will face resistance at the 20-day EMA and the 50-day SMA.

We shall turn bullish when the EOS/USD pair breaks out of $10.1190 levels.

Author: Rakesh Upadhyay

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A decade from now, bitcoin is more likely to be $100 than $100,000, Harvard economist says

The likelihood of bitcoin falling to $100 was greater than that of the digital currency rising to $100,000 a decade from now, Harvard economist Kenneth Rogoff said.
Regulation would be a trigger for the move lower in prices, Rogoff said, although he acknowledged that it would not be an overnight development.

The likelihood of bitcoin prices falling to $100 is greater than that of the digital currency trading at $100,000 a decade from now, Harvard University professor and economist Kenneth Rogoff said on Tuesday.

"I think bitcoin will be worth a tiny fraction of what it is now if we're headed out 10 years from now … I would see $100 as being a lot more likely than $100,000 ten years from now," Rogoff told CNBC's "Squawk Box."

"Basically, if you take away the possibility of money laundering and tax evasion, its actual uses as a transaction vehicle are very small," the former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said.

While bitcoin has been associated with illicit transactions, estimates of the proportion of the digital currency used in illegal activities vary. Shone Anstey, the co-founder and president of Blockchain Intelligence Group, gauged that the level of illegal transactions in bitcoin had fallen to 20 percent in 2016 and was "significantly less than that" in 2017.

Rogoff said that government regulation would be a trigger for the drop in bitcoin prices, although he stressed that it would take time to develop a global framework of regulation.

"It really needs to be global regulation. Even if the U.S. cracks down on it and China cracks down, but Japan doesn't, people will be able to still launder money through Japan," he said.

Meanwhile, regulatory developments in the cryptocurrency landscape depend on individual countries. Bitcoin was legalized as a currency by Japan last year and the country has also officially recognized a number of cryptocurrency exchanges. But a massive theft of tokens worth $530 million in January saw authorities push for improvements.

South Korea, on the other hand, has implemented rules that allow cryptocurrency trading only from real-name bank accounts.

Private sector 'invented everything' related to currency

Bitcoin traded around $11,242.61 during Tuesday Asia morning trade, according to industry site CoinDesk. The digital currency is down around 16 percent this year, having fallen from a record high of more than $19,000 in December last year.

But one reason authorities have been slow to act when it comes to regulating bitcoin is due to the anticipation of the technology behind the digital currency, according to Rogoff.

"They want to see the technology develop," Rogoff said, adding that the private sector has historically "invented everything" in the history of currency, from standardized coinage to paper currency.

Bitcoin is just one application of blockchain technology, a term used to refer to distributed ledger technology that allows transactions to be recorded and maintained, which has been identified as a major area of growth.

This is not the first time the economist has pointed to cryptocurrency prices falling. Before bitcoin sold off in December last year, Rogoff told CNBC last October that prices of the digital currency would "collapse" amid attempts by governments to regulate the space.

Author Cheang Ming | @cheangming Published 1 Hour Ago

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